000
ABNT20 KNHC 182336
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON ERIN
THAT IS NOW A REMNANT LOW WELL WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS.  ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT 
MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING 
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN