000
ABNT20 KNHC 181730
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ERIN...LOCATED WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS.  ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG