000
ABNT20 KNHC 301138
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 30 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS A FEW HUNDRED
MILES EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.  UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS ARE SPREADING
ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THURSDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG