000 ABNT20 KNHC 291954 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 355 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...CONFIRM THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. IN ADDITION...THE DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH THE LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURES WELL REMOVED FROM THE MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN