000
ABNT20 KNHC 291146
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUL 29 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...
IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS 
A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS.  THIS DISTURBANCE STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A CLOSED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...AND SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH ACROSS
THE AREA.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO OCCUR...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PASSING
WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND MOVE ACROSS THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE BAHAMAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG