000
ABNT20 KNHC 232333
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED A LITTLE MORE THAN 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION.  AN
INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT AND ORGANIZATION OF THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
ALTHOUGH THE LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A DAY OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG