000
ABNT20 KNHC 131132
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 13 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
CHANTAL. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND MERGE WITH
A FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG THE EASTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE DATA SHOW A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR A NON-TROPICAL LOW TO FORM ALONG THE TROUGH AND THEN
DRIFT NORTHWARD.  DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA