000
ABNT20 KNHC 052334
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE INTERACTION BETWEEN A BROAD SURFACE LOW AND AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND TEXAS COASTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA BY LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE
FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO
20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA