000
ABNT20 KNHC 041724
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE.  WHILE THE NORTHERN END OF THE TROUGH IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR WHILE
THE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE