000 ABNT20 KNHC 040541 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT THU JUL 4 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN