000
ABNT20 KNHC 031740
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM
COULD PRODUCE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG