000
ABNT20 KNHC 030547
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT THEY COULD BECOME
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN