000 ABNT20 KNHC 022344 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A SURFACE TROUGH PRODUCING AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT THEY COULD BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART