000
ABNT20 KNHC 170502
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN
HONDURAS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE 
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO
SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND
OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY.  THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF HONDURAS...THE BAY ISLANDS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN