000 ABNT20 KNHC 191141 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 AM EST FRI NOV 19 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS...WEST OF THE BAY ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN