000
ABNT20 KNHC 190532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST FRI NOV 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HONDURAS NEAR ROATAN ISLAND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE...
AND THE LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND
GUATEMALA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE OPPORTUNITY
FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY BRING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART