000 ABNT20 KNHC 150533 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM EST MON NOV 15 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART