000
ABNT20 KNHC 091740
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST TUE NOV 9 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND WEAK LOW
PRESSURE AREA.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE 
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN