000 ABNT20 KNHC 241741 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON UPGRADED HURRICANE RICHARD...LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY BELIZE. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH