000
ABNT20 KNHC 222340
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RICHARD...LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM PASSING THROUGH THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE NOT CHANGED IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. 
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
INTO SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTH
AT 15 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS GENERALLY DISSIPATED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 930 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN