000
ABNT20 KNHC 221751
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RICHARD...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN 
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A LESS FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT EXPECTED AFTER THAT TIME.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY
AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 
15 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 960 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART