000
ABNT20 KNHC 221157
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RICHARD LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IS
EXPECTED AFTER THAT TIME.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY
AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 
15 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART