000
ABNT20 KNHC 220537
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RICHARD LOCATED ABOUT 195 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE
FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST AFTER THAT TIME.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A LARGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA