000
ABNT20 KNHC 191756
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...ABOUT
MIDWAY BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...HAS NOT YET
COMPLETED ITS MISSION.  ALTHOUGH PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS NOT IMPROVED IN
ORGANIZATION...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI