000
ABNT20 KNHC 191152
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...
AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS DISTURBANCE BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI