000
ABNT20 KNHC 171732
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 17 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED NEAR A BROAD AND
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT BEGINS TO
INTERACT WITH LAND IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE AN AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS PART
OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN IS NOT NORMALLY EXPECTED THIS TIME OF YEAR. 
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG