000 ABNT20 KNHC 162331 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST NORTH OF WESTERN PANAMA IS PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART