000
ABNT20 KNHC 150547
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PAULA...LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES WEST OF VERADERO CUBA.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT CONDITIONS MAY
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE AFTERWARDS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN