000 ABNT20 KNHC 111758 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS... BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN