000
ABNT20 KNHC 110531
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES EAST OF 
THE COAST OF NICARAGUA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS 
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN