000 ABNT20 KNHC 102336 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES EAST OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI