000
ABNT20 KNHC 060532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 6 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA
CENTERED ABOUT 235 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  ONLY A
SMALL INCREASE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM WOULD RESULT IN
THE FORMATION OF A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. 
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE