000
ABNT20 KNHC 031134
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 3 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. 

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN