000
ABNT20 KNHC 300534
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL STORM NICOLE...LOCATED
ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF FREEPORT BAHAMAS...IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS CONFINED MAINLY TO THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW...AND WIND
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER RAIN
SQUALLS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES
EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS ALSO
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20
MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART