000
ABNT20 KNHC 230549
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA DURING
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS LOW COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. 
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN