000
ABNT20 KNHC 221736
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA
IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
AT 15 MPH TOWARD THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...AND THE NORTHERN COASTS OF WESTERN VENEZUELA
AND COLOMBIA THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA IN A COUPLE
DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG