000
ABNT20 KNHC 141749
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 14 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
...AND ON HURRICANE JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT
315 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE
HAS FORMED.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...AND INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND BELIZE
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS WARNINGS MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...CUBA...THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND BELIZE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN