000
ABNT20 KNHC 141500
TWOAT 
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2010

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE
CARIBBEAN

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
...AND ON HURRICANE JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL
MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THAT THE WIND CIRCULATION
IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO AND BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND BELIZE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN