000
ABNT20 KNHC 141144
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
...AND ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 330
MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING.  THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT BEFORE IT MOVES
INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...
CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN