000
ABNT20 KNHC 140533
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 785 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
...AND ON TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI... JAMAICA...CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH