000
ABNT20 KNHC 132340
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 13 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
...AND ON TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA REMAIN POORLY
ORGANIZED AND HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER...
SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
40 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG