000
ABNT20 KNHC 130538
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...AND ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED
ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.  

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE TROUGH MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA... JAMAICA...AND CUBA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON JULIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT32 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH