000
ABNT20 KNHC 050536
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL STORM EARL...WHICH HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
AREA NEAR NORTHEASTERN CANADA.

THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA
LATER TODAY OR MONDAY.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO.  ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY
DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO
10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN