000
ABNT20 KNHC 250530
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 25 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE
AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS.  ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER
THE PAST FEW HOURS...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR 
THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.  

A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.  DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS
WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS