000
ABNT20 KNHC 202347
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF BAY OF CAMPECHE AND ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.  

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN