000
ABNT20 KNHC 200532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. 
NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED BEFORE IT
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. 
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA TO SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 
THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE
IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS.  HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI