000
ABNT20 KNHC 162331
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS
LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE BAY...AND ABOUT 
90 MILES EAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.  THERE REMAINS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON TUESDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. 
SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART