000
ABNT20 KNHC 110557
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIVE...LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS ISLANDS
HAS INCREASED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND ANY ADDITIONAL INCREASE
IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 625
MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAINS LIMITED AND
POORLY ORGANIZED. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART