000
ABNT20 KNHC 090532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 9 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN IS AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF
PRESSURE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH. REGENERATION OF THIS DISTURBANCE BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO IS NOT EXPECTED. THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS
LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 110 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT AUGUSTINE FLORIDA IS INTERACTING WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW SITUATED NEAR THE BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED...AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
AND PROXIMITY TO LAND ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR
WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...THOUGH CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME WHEN THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART