000
ABNT20 KNHC 080545
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 8 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT
1100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
STILL APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.  DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR
0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN